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Red260
11889.8
497723.7
247846.9
Blue132
171450.0
347848.5
507612.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15798050200250300350400260132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#6
89.85.6
88.694.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 39.7
1714
#42
50.01.3
48.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2478
#70
46.95.6
41.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
48.51.3
46.547.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4977
#97
23.75.6
18.123.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
5076
#37
12.91.3
11.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End