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Red196
512532.3
433472.3
436258.1
Blue205
29457.4
509334.5
254119.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19019350100150250300350196205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#44
72.30.3
89.089.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 47.6
254
#1
119.90.6
112.9113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4362
#95
58.10.3
66.066.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
294
#16
57.40.6
56.356.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5125
#89
32.30.3
35.635.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
5093
#40
34.50.6
23.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End