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Red150
193731.7
417120.2
132357.7
Blue145
246865.7
379438.7
12580.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83215050150250300350400150145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#46
57.72.3
60.062.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
125
#7
80.12.5
87.184.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1937
#23
31.72.6
23.125.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.0
2468
#19
65.72.5
66.463.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4171
#34
20.22.3
20.222.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
3794
#78
38.72.5
41.438.9
Auto
Teleop
End