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Red125
412552.0
207329.8
77255.4
Blue63
448624.3
244353.7
347848.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313405015020025030012563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#12
55.40.5
44.945.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2443
#73
53.73.4
61.758.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4125
#57Sur
52.00.5
43.944.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
48.53.4
41.538.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2073
#75
29.80.5
27.327.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4486
#69Sur
24.33.4
27.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End