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Qual 362014 Curie Division
Red132
330143.7
22276.3
171897.3
Blue120
532617.7
6879.4
405552.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127154050100200250300350400132120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#2
97.30.0
87.5→87.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.9
68
#26
79.41.5
71.7→70.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3301
#31
43.70.0
29.4→29.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.7
4055
#21
52.41.5
59.4→57.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2227
#98
6.30.0
14.5→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.4
5326
#36
17.71.5
18.9→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—