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Red141
98780.6
416134.1
490120.4
Blue100
284849.5
436258.1
517928.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142137050100200250300141100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#27
80.60.0
90.890.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
4362
#95
58.11.9
65.063.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4161
#65
34.10.0
28.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
2848
#72
49.51.9
49.747.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4901
#77
20.40.0
22.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
5179
#86
28.61.9
23.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End