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Red176
481947.5
7456.8
379438.7
Blue210
304232.2
245193.6
412552.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126165050100200250300350176210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#60
56.82.2
48.350.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.7
2451
#11
93.62.5
81.884.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4819
#22
47.52.2
44.746.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
4125
#57
52.02.5
44.346.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3794
#78
38.72.2
38.941.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
3042
#50
32.22.5
33.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End