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Red106
35996.8
261942.0
452265.2
Blue125
208025.9
207329.8
347679.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521090200300400106125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#17
96.86.2
101.395.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
3476
#25
79.80.3
81.881.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4522
#48
65.26.2
77.070.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.3
2073
#75
29.80.3
27.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2619
#71
42.06.2
51.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
2080
#79
25.90.3
21.421.1
Auto
Teleop
End