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Red131
384330.8
216917.7
246865.7
Blue172
405552.4
433472.3
356239.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851950300400131172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#19
65.71.5
62.263.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
4334
#44
72.30.3
87.387.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3843
#74
30.81.5
19.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
4055
#21
52.40.3
57.957.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2169
#99
17.71.5
20.622.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
3562
#13
39.00.3
32.532.3
Auto
Teleop
End