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Red122
172337.1
381252.6
436258.1
Blue141
11889.8
22257.1
415928.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1432010100300400122141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#95
58.11.5
63.161.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.7
118
#6
89.82.5
99.997.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3812
#55
52.61.5
48.146.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
222
#33
57.12.5
63.561.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1723
#67
37.11.5
40.539.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
4159
#93
28.02.5
28.425.8
Auto
Teleop
End