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Red158
496927.9
62487.2
356239.0
Blue197
7456.8
292862.0
452265.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351880100300400158197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#10
87.20.7
91.291.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
4522
#48
65.20.9
70.971.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3562
#13
39.00.7
32.333.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
62.00.9
58.559.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4969
#82
27.90.7
20.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.0
74
#60
56.80.9
50.551.3
Auto
Teleop
End