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Red140
493522.9
18093.3
208025.9
Blue170
84281.8
491561.2
244353.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117210050150250300350400140170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
93.30.4
93.293.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
842
#20
81.81.3
86.685.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2080
#79
25.90.4
21.121.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.2
4915
#39
61.21.3
54.353.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4935
#47
22.90.4
17.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.9
2443
#73
53.71.3
54.553.2
Auto
Teleop
End