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Qual 742014 Curie Division
Red130
6879.4
316137.8
29457.4
Blue166
57359.6
529715.9
347848.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171102050150200250300350400130166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#26
79.41.5
71.0→69.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.8
573
#15
59.62.7
58.9→61.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
294
#16
57.41.5
55.5→54.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.9
3478
#9
48.52.7
37.6→40.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3161
#83
37.81.5
34.0→32.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.9
5297
#87
15.92.7
16.0→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—