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Red195
381252.6
284849.5
208025.9
Blue168
86535.3
77255.4
7456.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117128050100150200250300195168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#55
52.63.8
46.650.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
74
#60
56.82.1
51.353.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2848
#72
49.53.8
50.354.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
772
#12
55.42.1
46.348.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2080
#79
25.93.8
21.525.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
865
#64
35.32.1
28.730.8
Auto
Teleop
End