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Red127
57359.6
171450.0
23060.5
Blue150
23655.5
502429.2
84281.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1811640100300400127150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#80
60.52.6
71.669.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
842
#20
81.80.8
85.484.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
#15
59.62.6
61.559.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
236
#56
55.50.8
55.354.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1714
#42
50.02.6
45.242.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
5024
#88
29.20.8
26.125.2
Auto
Teleop
End