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Red366
369230.7
517257.4
254119.9
Blue116
86535.3
500225.3
452265.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202111050150250300350366116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
119.98.9
114.0122.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 54.7
4522
#48
65.20.4
71.771.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5172
#14
57.48.9
49.758.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
865
#64
35.30.4
30.830.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3692
#63
30.78.9
24.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
5002
#76
25.30.4
22.321.9
Auto
Teleop
End