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Qual 982014 Curie Division
Red116
509334.5
190235.2
162961.1
Blue129
448624.3
496927.9
2834.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13873050100200250300116129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#45
61.10.6
70.4→69.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.3
28
#49
34.92.3
38.6→40.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1902
#62
35.20.6
30.6→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.4
4969
#82
27.92.3
20.8→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5093
#40
34.50.6
27.2→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.3
4486
#69
24.32.3
24.0→26.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—