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Qual 132014 Greater DC Regional
Red50
365027.5
445622.7
524315.2
Blue49
284929.7
454132.8
61514.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565702040801001205049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3650
#18
27.50.5
21.5→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.3
4541
#14
32.80.6
26.2→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4456
#13
22.70.5
19.2→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.0
2849
#29
29.70.6
19.2→18.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5243
#16
15.20.5
15.6→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
615
#48
14.20.6
10.4→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—