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Qual 142014 Greater DC Regional
Red8
296412.2
253724.2
406730.2
Blue70
44943.7
61420.5
61125.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55810100150200870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4067
#43
30.24.3
20.7→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.5
449
#10
43.70.4
31.5→31.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2537
#25
24.24.3
20.6→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
611
#39
25.70.5
30.8→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2964
#44
12.24.3
18.1→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.3
614
#17
20.50.5
15.1→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—