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Red23
88812.2
291412.6
533819.7
Blue95
296111.5
11633.5
68617.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566401001502395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#40
19.72.8
19.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
116
#15
33.51.6
22.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2914
#45
12.61.7
19.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
686
#38
17.52.7
21.123.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
888
#27
12.22.8
18.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
2961
#37
11.52.7
18.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End