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Qual 182014 Greater DC Regional
Red211
424232.9
237744.7
22582.0
Blue30
365027.5
191518.1
345526.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1303505010015020025021130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
82.04.8
71.2→76.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 54.5
3650
#18Sur
27.51.7
21.0→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2377
#9
44.78.0
28.6→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.6
3455
#31
26.11.7
13.4→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4242
#8Sur
32.98.0
15.4→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.9
1915
#35
18.11.7
15.6→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—