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Qual 422014 Greater DC Regional
Red180
22582.0
175825.7
61420.5
Blue106
524315.2
141867.0
264034.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117109050150200250300350400180106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
82.03.2
74.9→78.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.9
1418
#7
67.00.2
60.0→59.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1758
#28
25.73.2
26.9→30.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.8
2640
#34
34.40.2
37.8→37.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
614
#17
20.53.2
14.3→17.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
5243
#16
15.20.4
13.0→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—