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Qual 432014 Greater DC Regional
Red156
445622.7
33944.8
533819.7
Blue105
188542.3
290018.5
446430.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6684050100150156105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#5
44.84.4
29.4→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
1885
#22
42.32.0
31.3→33.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4456
#13
22.77.3
14.8→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.7
4464
#12
30.42.0
27.3→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5338
#40
19.77.3
24.5→31.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
2900
#36
18.52.0
22.8→24.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—