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Qual 472014 Greater DC Regional
Red38
494517.7
424232.9
68617.5
Blue42
291225.7
345526.1
61514.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83300501001502002503842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#8
32.93.1
31.2→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
3455
#31
26.10.3
14.5→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4945
#30
17.73.1
15.6→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.0
2912
#4
25.70.3
20.3→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
686
#38
17.53.1
28.2→25.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
615
#48
14.20.3
3.7→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—