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Qual 482014 Greater DC Regional
Red57
175825.7
237744.7
454132.8
Blue122
13892.1
206838.1
173170.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810540608012014016018057122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#9
44.73.5
42.3→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 25.6
1731
#2
70.30.9
64.4→65.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4541
#14
32.83.5
26.5→23.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.3
2068
#6
38.10.9
29.8→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1758
#28
25.72.1
30.1→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.6
1389
#46
2.11.5
9.3→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—