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Red89
296317.9
253724.2
88812.2
Blue45
341934.4
291412.6
296412.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447801001508945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#25
24.23.3
19.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
3419
#23
34.42.3
40.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2963
#32
17.93.3
12.215.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2914
#45
12.61.4
14.613.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
888
#27
12.23.3
17.620.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2964
#44
12.22.3
17.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End