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Qual 512014 Greater DC Regional
Red115
290018.5
184915.6
11633.5
Blue210
188542.3
22582.0
61514.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69123050100150200115210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#15
33.51.9
31.9→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 48.5
225
#1
82.04.8
77.3→82.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2900
#36
18.53.2
24.8→28.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 23.8
1885
#22
42.38.0
33.3→41.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1849
#47
15.63.2
20.3→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
615
#48
14.28.0
4.0→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—