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Red160
80163.8
10864.4
393323.5
Blue175
34851.9
106568.7
38631.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147137050100200250300350160175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#12
64.40.7
57.558.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1065
#13
68.71.8
63.765.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
801
#4
63.80.7
63.464.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
348
#9
51.91.8
48.350.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3933
#33
23.50.7
24.725.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
386
#18
31.21.8
26.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End