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Red141
456232.6
462216.9
152350.2
Blue120
365332.2
337616.3
50182.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95510150200250141120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#32
50.22.6
47.650.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
32.23.1
31.034.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4562
#39
32.64.4
21.826.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
3376
#43
16.35.1
17.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4622
#35
16.94.4
19.023.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
5018
#47
2.65.1
9.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End