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Red16
139813.8
164915.8
496522.7
Blue108
447119.4
440331.8
2138.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5490015020016108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4965
#23
22.72.2
24.422.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
21
#15
38.51.2
34.735.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1649
#44
15.82.2
23.421.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
4403
#27
31.81.2
32.133.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#40
13.82.2
11.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4471
#36
19.41.2
17.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End