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Red109
447119.4
459240.5
456232.6
Blue102
402644.4
341051.6
50182.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9198050150200250300109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.9
42.243.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
3410
#11
51.60.2
44.544.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4562
#39
32.61.3
31.933.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
4026
#19
44.40.2
39.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4471
#36
19.40.9
17.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
5018
#47
2.60.4
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End