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Red145
337616.3
411854.3
393242.0
Blue132
459240.5
335421.4
74459.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102120050150200250145132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#17
54.32.0
52.954.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
744
#21
59.80.7
56.357.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3932
#22
42.02.0
38.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
40.50.7
40.441.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3376
#43
16.32.2
14.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
3354
#30
21.40.7
20.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End