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Red53
38631.2
164915.8
45177.4
Blue70
533518.4
215236.6
53913.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517301001502005370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
31.20.1
31.030.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
36.60.0
37.337.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1649
#44
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
5335
#37
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4517
#42
7.40.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
539
#25
13.90.0
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End