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Red48
125128.6
7942.9
17938.8
Blue185
159266.5
490126.6
18064.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10016705015020025030035048185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#23
42.91.3
43.041.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.6
66.50.6
66.366.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#9
38.81.3
38.937.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
180
#10
64.10.6
63.964.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1251
#26
28.61.3
28.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4901
#25
26.60.5
26.426.9
Auto
Teleop
End