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Red188
125128.6
17938.8
7942.9
Blue162
490126.6
159266.5
18064.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95170050150200250300350188162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#23
42.91.7
41.743.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.6
66.50.1
66.967.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#9
38.81.7
37.639.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
180
#10
64.10.1
64.564.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1251
#26
28.61.7
27.429.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4901
#25
26.60.1
26.926.9
Auto
Teleop
End