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Red89
125128.6
7942.9
17938.8
Blue136
159266.5
490126.6
18064.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10116905015020025030035089136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#23
42.90.5
43.442.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.6
66.50.5
67.066.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#9
38.80.5
39.338.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
180
#10
64.10.5
64.664.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1251
#26
28.60.5
29.128.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
4901
#25
26.60.4
26.926.6
Auto
Teleop
End