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Red127
411845.2
136923.9
365912.9
Blue25
50096.3
365321.6
94526.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3739020608010012012725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#11
45.27.4
18.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
945
#60
26.21.2
14.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1369
#48
23.97.4
7.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3653
#50
21.61.2
17.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3659
#35
12.97.4
11.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
5009
#62
6.31.2
7.76.5
Auto
Teleop
End