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Qual 282014 Orlando Regional
Red86
401326.3
393234.1
459234.9
Blue131
8633.1
445151.4
316418.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678905010015020086131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4592
#39
34.91.3
15.6→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.6
4451
#12
51.42.5
46.0→48.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3932
#28
34.11.3
37.1→38.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
86
#30
33.13.8
21.2→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4013
#54
26.31.3
17.7→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.6
3164
#53
18.73.8
18.3→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—