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Red66
164927.5
38621.7
447119.2
Blue96
402410.6
187630.2
411845.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427001001502006696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1649
#33
27.51.6
20.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
4118
#11
45.22.5
26.328.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
386
#45
21.71.6
20.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
1876
#32
30.21.5
25.727.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4471
#56
19.21.6
5.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4024
#21
10.62.5
13.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End