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Red101
17938.8
80142.6
164927.5
Blue49
401326.3
483319.0
514525.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8149010015010149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#22
42.62.1
27.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
4013
#54
26.30.4
16.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#9
38.82.1
26.828.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
5145
#36
25.30.4
19.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1649
#33
27.52.1
22.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
4833
#52
19.00.4
18.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End