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Red113
490126.6
435224.1
365321.6
Blue70
40641.7
409118.2
62469.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49121010015020025011370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4901
#25
26.62.6
23.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 42.9
624
#3
69.42.0
74.973.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4352
#34
24.14.4
16.921.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
4091
#44
18.23.3
24.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3653
#50
21.64.4
20.524.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4064
#40
1.73.3
9.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End