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Red150
45637.5
490126.6
8633.1
Blue43
155740.0
190225.7
528320.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649105015020015043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#29
37.56.8
18.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1557
#24
40.03.7
35.231.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
86
#30
33.16.8
24.331.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1902
#38
25.73.7
31.427.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4901
#25
26.64.1
25.829.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
5283
#18
20.53.7
20.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End