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Qual 622014 Orlando Regional
Red190
159266.5
447119.2
142155.1
Blue77
80142.6
255629.3
316418.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908305015020025030035040019077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#2
66.58.4
38.4→46.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.9
801
#22
42.60.6
29.3→28.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1421
#27
55.18.4
46.2→54.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 25.8
2556
#47
29.30.6
32.1→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4471
#56
19.28.4
4.6→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
3164
#53
18.70.6
22.7→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—