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Red48
50096.3
514525.3
152349.0
Blue160
215226.5
279733.4
447119.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7256010015020048160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.7
37.535.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.6
2797
#14
33.47.9
27.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5145
#36
25.31.7
29.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2152
#19
26.57.9
17.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5009
#62
6.31.7
3.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
4471
#56
19.27.9
13.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End