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Red176
418939.1
297461.5
331845.9
Blue126
228356.9
10850.8
168353.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14216950100200250300176126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#12
61.50.5
61.461.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2283
#32
56.90.7
57.957.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.90.7
45.746.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1683
#24
53.90.9
55.254.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4189
#27
39.10.7
38.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
108
#7
50.80.9
52.151.2
Auto
Teleop
End