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Red126
418939.1
297461.5
331845.9
Blue145
168353.9
228356.9
10850.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14416650100200250300126145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#12
61.50.4
61.961.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2283
#32
56.90.3
57.256.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45.90.5
46.445.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
1683
#24
53.90.4
54.353.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4189
#27
39.10.5
39.639.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
108
#7
50.80.4
51.250.8
Auto
Teleop
End