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Quarterfinal 2-12014 Peachtree Regional
Red141
164846.2
450972.9
83225.5
Blue188
418939.1
331845.9
297461.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147141050100200250300350400141188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4509
#5
72.90.1
73.3→73.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.5
2974
#12
61.50.8
60.2→61.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1648
#10
46.20.1
46.5→46.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
3318
#6
45.91.0
44.1→45.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
832
#50
25.50.1
25.8→25.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.6
4189
#27
39.11.0
37.4→38.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—