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Semifinal 1-22014 Peachtree Regional
Red133
402637.4
474947.6
408035.0
Blue138
331845.9
418939.1
297461.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113155050200250300350133138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4749
#22
47.60.3
47.3→47.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.9
2974
#12
61.50.2
62.0→61.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4026
#18
37.40.3
37.1→37.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.5
3318
#6
45.90.2
46.6→46.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4080
#14
35.00.3
34.7→35.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.1
4189
#27
39.10.2
39.9→39.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—