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Red131
409255.7
402637.4
470118.6
Blue90
416311.5
408035.0
228356.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810405015020025030035013190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.2
54.455.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2283
#32
56.90.7
57.456.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4026
#18
37.41.7
33.935.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4080
#14
35.01.0
34.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4701
#20
18.61.7
19.120.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4163
#63
11.51.0
12.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End