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Red163
510920.9
100223.8
164846.2
Blue118
126172.6
179528.8
473023.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611420100200250300350163118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#10
46.24.5
42.046.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.4
72.60.5
74.874.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1002
#35
23.86.4
17.423.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1795
#36
28.80.8
29.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5109
#34
20.96.4
14.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4730
#41
23.70.8
24.523.7
Auto
Teleop
End